Germany’s Refugee Debate: Ten Years After Merkel’s “We Can Do It”

Open Arms in 2015

In September 2015, Angela Merkel uttered the phrase that would define her legacy: “Wir schaffen das.” We can do it. Germany opened its borders as war drove Syrians, Afghans, and Iraqis into exile. That year saw more asylum applications than ever before.

Many Germans cheered. Others bristled. To some, the country had stretched its heart wide open. To others, the doors had been flung too far.

A Shift in Mood

The numbers tell the story. In 2017, 84% of migrants said they felt welcome. By 2023, only 65% felt that way. Refugees are not alone in noticing the change. One in five Germans now votes for the far-right AfD, a party that barely registered before 2015.

Violent crimes linked to refugees fueled fears, and local communities complained of strain. The political temperature rose.

The Economic Paradox

And yet, Germany needs migrants. Hospitals are full of Syrian doctors. Refugees keep the economy moving at a time of labor shortages. Studies show employment rates among 2015 arrivals are now on par with German citizens. Families once displaced by war have become citizens, taxpayers, and neighbors.

Merkel herself still defends her choice. She admits the decision polarized the country and strengthened the AfD. But she insists it was right. Humane. Necessary.

Politics After Merkel

Her successors are less certain. Current CDU leader Friedrich Merz argues Germany “didn’t make it.” His government has tightened asylum laws, reintroduced border checks, and fought legal battles over migration policy.

The contradiction is sharp. Politicians argue for tighter control while also pleading for skilled labor. They want fewer “uncontrolled” arrivals but faster tracks for those who can work.

The Divide That Will Not Heal

The refugee debate has become Germany’s fault line. In parts of the east, the AfD has surged to first place. Upcoming regional elections could cement migration as the country’s fiercest dividing line.

But inside many homes, schools, and workplaces, the story looks different. Refugees are doctors, engineers, and citizens. They are raising children who speak German as their first language.

Ten years later, Germany is still balancing on the edge of Merkel’s promise. Did they make it? Half the country says yes. The other half still says no.

The Pakistani Army’s Complex Role in 1971: Power, Politics, and the Making of Bhutto’s Pakistan

By Munaeem Jamal – January 4, 2025

The year 1971 remains one of the most consequential in Pakistan’s political history, fundamentally reshaping the relationship between civilian leadership and military power. The Pakistani Army’s role during this tumultuous period was paradoxical—simultaneously serving as the instrument of state repression that led to national dismemberment and as the catalyst that elevated Zulfikar Ali Bhutto to power amidst its own institutional humiliation.

The Army as Enforcer: Operation Searchlight and State Violence

The Pakistani military’s descent into infamy began on the night of March 25, 1971, with the launch of Operation Searchlight. Under the orders of President Yahya Khan, the army initiated what would become known as the Bangladesh genocide, targeting Bengali intellectuals, political activists, and civilians in a systematic campaign of terror. The operation was designed to suppress the Bengali nationalist movement that had emerged following the Awami League’s decisive electoral victory, but it fundamentally transformed the nature of Pakistani civil-military relations.

General Yahya Khan’s reported statement, “Kill three million of them, and the rest will eat out of our hands,” epitomized the military’s brutal approach to political dissent. The army’s actions extended beyond mere law enforcement—they represented a complete militarization of political conflict, with devastating consequences for Pakistani unity and international standing.

The military leadership’s strategic miscalculation was profound. War strategists in the army had not seriously considered a full-fledged invasion from India until December 1971, presuming that Indian military intervention would be deterred by potential Chinese or American involvement. This hubris reflected the institutional arrogance that had characterized Pakistani military thinking since independence.

Bhutto’s Calculated Complicity and Strategic Distance

Zulfikar Ali Bhutto’s role during the March crisis reveals the complex dynamics between civilian political leadership and military power. While staying in Dhaka on the night of March 25, Bhutto commented that “Pakistan had been saved by the army” before departing the following day. His initial support for military action demonstrated his willingness to use state violence for political advantage.

However, Bhutto’s political acumen became evident as the crisis deepened. While publicly supporting the army’s actions and working to rally international support, Bhutto began distancing himself from the Yahya Khan regime and criticizing the president for mishandling the situation. This strategic positioning allowed him to emerge as a viable alternative leader when the military’s credibility collapsed.

Bhutto’s refusal to accept an Awami League government and his infamous threat to “break the legs” of any elected PPP member who attended the National Assembly session revealed his authoritarian instincts. His political calculations contributed directly to the constitutional crisis that precipitated military intervention.

Military Defeat and Institutional Humiliation

The December 1971 surrender marked an unprecedented moment in Pakistani military history. The Eastern Command surrendered approximately 93,000–97,000 uniform personnel to the Indian Army—the largest surrender in a war by any country after World War II. This defeat shattered the army’s self-perception as the guardian of Pakistani ideology and territorial integrity.

The reaction to the defeat was described as “a shocking loss to top military and civilians alike. Few had expected that they would lose the formal war in under a fortnight, and there was also unsettlement over what was perceived as a meek surrender”. The military’s failure exposed fundamental weaknesses in Pakistani strategic doctrine and operational capabilities.

The international dimension of the defeat was equally damaging. Despite U.S. diplomatic support and the deployment of the USS Enterprise to the Bay of Bengal, Pakistan found itself diplomatically isolated as most UN member nations quickly recognized Bangladesh’s independence. The military’s strategic assumptions about international support proved catastrophically wrong.

Bhutto’s Rise and the Transformation of Civil-Military Relations

The military’s humiliation created a unique opportunity for civilian assertion that Bhutto skillfully exploited. The 1971 war and breakup of Pakistan saw the emergence of Bhutto as the democratically elected leader, though he assumed the role of President and Chief Martial Law Administrator, using the term “Awami Martial Law” to justify his absolutism.

The military debacle of 1971 gave the civilian government breathing space in decision-making, as the army was subjected to ridicule after the defeat. Bhutto skillfully maneuvered to avoid blame despite being an equal partner responsible for Pakistan’s breakup. His political theater, including dramatically tearing up his speech at the UN Security Council, enhanced his nationalist credentials while the military faced institutional disgrace.

Bhutto’s approach to controlling the military was multifaceted. Convinced of the threat from the army, Bhutto allocated equal funds to both the army and the Federal Security Forces (FSF), and offered junior army officers valuable land at gift prices to ensure loyalty. His unconventional promotion of General Zia-ul-Haq as Army Chief, bypassing seniority, reflected his strategy of ensuring military subservience through personal loyalty rather than institutional reform.

The Nuclear Response and Strategic Realignment

The 1971 defeat fundamentally altered Pakistan’s strategic calculations. In January 1972, Pakistan under Bhutto launched the clandestine development of nuclear weapons with a view to “never allowing another foreign invasion of Pakistan”. This nuclear program represented the military-civilian consensus that emerged from the trauma of defeat.

Bhutto chose U.S.-trained nuclear engineer Munir Khan as chairman of the Pakistan Atomic Energy Commission, reflecting his understanding that Pakistan needed technological capability to compensate for conventional military weaknesses. The nuclear program became a means of restoring national pride and military credibility.

Long-term Implications for Pakistani Politics

The events of 1971 established patterns that would define Pakistani civil-military relations for decades. Despite the army’s weakened position, Bhutto’s authoritarian tendencies and eventual overthrow by General Zia demonstrated that the fundamental structure of military dominance remained intact. The brief period of civilian assertion proved temporary, as institutional rather than structural change had occurred.

Bhutto’s transfer of power by the discredited military meant he was appeased by an organization that remained a senior partner of the praetorian oligarchy. Being of the landed feudal class himself, Bhutto sought to become authoritarian while curtailing military power. This contradiction ultimately proved unsustainable.

The international community’s response to the 1971 crisis also established precedents for future interventions. The limited international accountability for the genocide and mass atrocities committed during the liberation war demonstrated the constraints of international law in addressing state violence.

Conclusion: The Paradox of Military Defeat and Enduring Influence

The Pakistani Army’s role in 1971 represents a fundamental paradox in the country’s political development. While the military suffered its greatest institutional defeat and humiliation, the crisis ultimately reinforced rather than diminished its centrality to Pakistani politics. Bhutto’s rise to power, facilitated by military weakness, nevertheless required accommodation with military interests and eventually succumbed to military intervention.

The army’s failure to maintain Pakistani unity through Operation Searchlight and its subsequent defeat by India revealed the limitations of military solutions to political problems. However, the institutional lessons learned were more about tactical effectiveness than political restraint. The nuclear program initiated in response to 1971 became a new source of military relevance and political influence.

Understanding the army’s role in 1971 requires recognizing both its immediate failure and its long-term adaptation. The events of that year demonstrated that while military power could be defeated and discredited, the underlying structures of civil-military imbalance in Pakistan proved remarkably resilient. Bhutto’s tenure represented not the triumph of civilian supremacy but rather a temporary reconfiguration of military-dominated politics—one that would soon revert to more familiar patterns of military dominance under General Zia’s subsequent coup.

The legacy of 1971 continues to shape contemporary Pakistani politics, where the military’s role as the ultimate arbiter of political legitimacy remains largely unquestioned despite periodic assertions of civilian authority. The year stands as both a cautionary tale about the limits of military power and a demonstration of its enduring influence in Pakistan’s political system.


Munaeem Jamal is a political analyst and blogger based in Karachi, Pakistan, specializing in South Asian politics and security issues. His work appears on munaeem.de and munaeem.org.

Exploring America’s Expanding Muslim Communities by State

The content outlines the growing Muslim populations across ten states in the U.S., highlighting their cultural, economic, and community contributions. States like New York, California, and Texas are noted for their significant Muslim communities, driven by job opportunities, affordable living, and vibrant cultural hubs, fostering diversity and interfaith dialogue.

1. Georgia (10th): Georgia, known for its peaches and sweet tea, houses a rapidly growing Muslim population, primarily in Atlanta. With over 100 mosques and Islamic centers, the community contributes significantly to the state’s cultural and economic diversity. The state’s economic boom in technology, film, and logistics attracts Muslim immigrants. These immigrants come from various countries, including Somalia, Bangladesh, and the Middle East. Affordable living and job opportunities contribute to the community’s growth. Atlanta also hosts one of the Southeast’s largest Eid festivals.

2. Ohio (9th): Ohio is known for football and rock and roll. It boasts a vibrant and historic Muslim community. This community was established over a century ago by immigrants from Lebanon and Syria. With approximately 130,000 Muslims, the community’s impact on Ohio’s culture and economy is significant. Cities like Columbus and Cleveland are hubs of this diversity, featuring mosques, Halal restaurants, and markets. Ohio’s affordability is another factor attracting Muslim families.

3. Virginia (8th): Virginia is a modern hub for a growing Muslim population. This is despite its Colonial history. The growth is particularly noticeable in Northern Virginia near Washington, D.C. The presence of government and military jobs, along with the thriving tech sector, attracts many Muslim professionals. The Adams Center in Sterling serves as a significant community hub for interfaith dialogue and cultural exchange. The area also features a diverse Halal food scene.

4. Florida (7th): Florida’s Muslim population is diverse, mirroring the state’s multicultural nature. The tourism-driven economy, coupled with opportunities in hospitality, healthcare, and technology, attracts Muslims from various backgrounds. Miami is a particularly significant hub for entrepreneurial Muslims. The state’s warm climate and reputation as a retirement destination also contribute to its appeal.

5. Michigan (6th): Michigan is home to Dearborn, which is known as the Arab-American capital of the US. The state has a long history of Muslim presence. This began with immigration in the early 20th century due to the booming auto industry. Dearborn boasts impressive mosques and hosts significant community events. The state’s Muslim community is characterized by resilience, unity, and contributions to local businesses and charities.

6. Texas (5th): Texas’s large Muslim population is attributed to its booming economy, affordable living, and welcoming atmosphere. The state’s job market, especially in Houston and Austin, attracts professionals from various countries. Houston, in particular, has a large Muslim population with numerous mosques, markets, and a significant Ramadan festival. Texas’s affordability compared to other states is another major draw.

7. New Jersey (4th): New Jersey’s Muslim population benefits from its proximity to New York City. It offers suburban living with easy access to the city. Cities like Paterson, known for its Palestinian heritage, are cultural hubs. The state’s established Muslim community has numerous mosques and cultural centers. There is a strong emphasis on community building and interfaith events.

8. Illinois (3rd): Illinois, particularly Chicago, has a diverse Muslim community. This diversity is shaped by its industrial past. The city attracted early Muslim immigrants for job opportunities. Devon Avenue in Chicago is a notable hub for South Asian culture and cuisine. The state boasts a large number of mosques and Islamic centers, fostering interfaith dialogue and community outreach.

9. California (2nd): California’s thriving tech industry is in Silicon Valley. It is a major attraction for Muslim professionals from around the globe. The state’s diverse population and welcoming environment, coupled with renowned universities, attract both professionals and students.

10. New York (1st): New York, known for its diversity, has the largest Muslim population in the US. New York City has a history as an immigration magnet. Economic opportunities and a rich cultural landscape have attracted Muslims from various countries for generations. Queens, in particular, is known for its exceptionally diverse population. There are numerous mosques, businesses, and cultural centers. These highlight the significant contribution of the Muslim community to the state’s identity.

How much wealth did the British Empire loot from India?

The British Empire’s rule in India spanned over 200 years, during which various resources, including commodities, capital, and labor, were exploited. Estimating the exact amount of wealth looted is challenging and remains a subject of debate among historians.

During this period, India’s wealth was drained through various means such as taxation, land revenue systems, trade policies, and the exploitation of natural resources. Additionally, the British imposed tariffs and monopolized industries, further exacerbating the economic exploitation.

The economic impact on India was significant, as it led to the impoverishment of the local population and hindered the country’s overall development. However, it is difficult to quantify the exact amount of wealth looted, as it involved complex economic relationships and the effects of colonialism extended beyond direct monetary exploitation.

It is important to note that the impact of colonialism extends beyond mere economic measurements and has profound social, cultural, and political consequences.